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Next Week Trading (Aug 17th)

 
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 17, 2019 3:08 am    Post subject: Next Week Trading (Aug 17th) Reply with quote

Next Week Trading (Aug 17th):

On Thursday, when TLT hit 147, it seemed, a large short covering position caused it to spike to 148 1/2 and then spike back down. So, 147 may be resistance, and first major support is 142. I’ll continue to trade TLT puts, because, I believe, the bond market is overreacting. Also, HAL is oversold and undervalued. I may bail out of the GE calls and hedge with SPY puts.

My portfolio is about $500,000 including $176,900 in cash.

Calls Contracts-Shares Long

GE Jan 10 2020 400
HAL Sep 20 2019 600
HAL Jan 20 2020 600
HAL Jan 25 2020 2,000

Puts Contracts-Shares Short

TLT Sep 142 2019 200
TLT Sep 145 2019 300
SPY Oct 290 2019 20
SPY Oct 295 2019 10

Portfolio at $100,000 on March 1st, 2018. Portfolio stop loss lowered to $500,000. Scaled up and adjusted portfolio. Both prior portfolios, since the early 2000s, rose initially and substantially, and then failed quickly in “irrational” market “melt-ups.”
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