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Joined: 28 Dec 2005 Posts: 11986
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Posted: Thu Mar 05, 2020 1:36 pm Post subject: Mar 5th Trading Log (Fri Trading Plan - Updated) |
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Mar 5th Trading Log (Fri Trading Plan):
The daily NYMO (up 49 to negative 39 yesterday and down 33 today to negative 72) and Fear Greed Index (at 9) suggest an uptrend, perhaps to SPY 320 over the next few weeks. However, if SPY opens low, or pulls-back, I'll buy March 6 calls, which expire in one day. There may be enough volatility to make big gains. VXX more than doubled, which equals prior steep sell-offs. TLT puts may be a buy Friday.
My portfolio is at $270,000 including $96,900 in cash.
Calls Contracts-Shares Long
SPY Mar 308 2020 40
SPY Apr 310 2020 40
SLB Apr 27.5 2020 100
SLB Apr 30 2020 200
OIH 10,000 shares
Puts Contracts-Shares Short
VXX Mar 25 2020 50
Portfolio at $100,000 on March 1st, 2018. Portfolio stop loss suspended. Scaled up and adjusted portfolio. Both prior portfolios, since early 2000s, rose initially and substantially, and then failed quickly in “irrational” market “melt-ups," where stocks can go straight up month after month. |
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