PeakTrader.com Forum Index PeakTrader.com
Economics, Portfolio Optimization, and Technical Analysis
 
 FAQFAQ   SearchSearch   MemberlistMemberlist   UsergroupsUsergroups   RegisterRegister 
 ProfileProfile   Log in to check your private messagesLog in to check your private messages   Log inLog in 
Log inFast Charts

Dec 25th Trading Log (Thu Trading Plan)

 
Post new topic   Reply to topic     PeakTrader.com Forum Index -> Trading Log *All Categories Free For Limited Time*
View previous topic :: View next topic  
Author Message
administrator
Site Admin


Joined: 28 Dec 2005
Posts: 11965

PostPosted: Wed Dec 25, 2019 11:13 am    Post subject: Dec 25th Trading Log (Thu Trading Plan) Reply with quote

Dec 25th Trading Log (Thu Trading Plan):

AAPL is three standard errors from mean, which suggests a significant pullback soon or at least much more volatility with a pullback. I expect at least a minor market pullback the last few days of the year, and the "melt up" to continue early next year with SPX topping around 3,350, although volatility may increase. I'll be looking to build up cash and buy more SPY Jun puts. Eventually, there will be a 10% to 20% downward correction, likely beginning in March.

My portfolio is at $500,000 including $53,000 in cash.

Calls Contracts-Shares Long

VXX Jan 14 100 weekly 3rd
VXX Jan 15 100 weekly 3rd

Puts Contracts-Shares Short

SPY Jan 320 2020 200
SPY Apr 315 2020 100
SPY Jun 315 2020 200
QQQ Jan 210 2020 100
AAPL Jan 275 2020 200
AAPL Jan 280 300 weekly 3rd

Portfolio at $100,000 on March 1st, 2018. Portfolio stop loss raised to $500,000. Scaled up and adjusted portfolio. Both prior portfolios, since the early 2000s, rose initially and substantially, and then failed quickly in “irrational” market “melt-ups.”
Back to top
View user's profile Send private message
Display posts from previous:   
Post new topic   Reply to topic     PeakTrader.com Forum Index -> Trading Log *All Categories Free For Limited Time* All times are GMT - 8 Hours
Page 1 of 1

 
Jump to:  
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum


Powered by PeakTrader 2.0.8 © 2001, 2002