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Aug 20th (Recap and Next Week Trading)

 
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arthur
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 12:44 pm    Post subject: Aug 20th (Recap and Next Week Trading) Reply with quote

Aug 20th Trading Log (Recap and Next Week Trading):

I basically took advantage of buying and selling opportunites to move my portfolio towards optimization. Consequently, I may eventually make gains on both calls and puts. SPX and QQQ closed at or near Aug "Max Pain," while DIA and OEX closed above Aug Max Pain. The major indices MACDs and CBOE Put/Call are bullish. However, many of the short-term indicators are overbought or neutral. TICK (with a high 100 unit MA) and VXN are overbought. Also, the NYSE and Nasdaq oscillators are near 50. INTC, which led the market lower earlier this year, finished the day lower, while SMH was relatively weak. I doubt the market will rally without leadership by the semiconductors, e.g. INTC and SMH. I'll post more info this weekend, including new articles in the Learn Portfolio Optimization and Economics Universe sections.

My portfolio is about $905,000 including about $735,000 in cash.

Calls Contracts

SMH Jan 32.5 2005 200
INTC Oct 20 2004 100
INTC Jan 22.5 2005 100
RMBS Jan 10 2005 10
KKD Sep 12.5 2004 20
PSFT Oct 17.5 2004 50

Puts Contracts

DIA Sep 100 2004 100
DIA Sep 102 2004 150
QQQ Oct 35 2004 100
OIH Oct 75 2004 10
EBAY Sep 80 2004 30
EBAY Sep 85 2004 10
PSFT Oct 17.5 2004 10

Portfolio at $500,000 on Jul 1st, 2003
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